A Missed Factor in Polling | mhgintn's Blog

Here's a quick and simple study for why Obama will not reach the projected polling data.

Let's first assume 10 democrat voters/votes from the 2006 elections and 9 Republican voters/votes. The Democrats won the '06 election by about that margin.

Now, in that 10 votes for "D" candidates in '06 there were regular voters now being characterized as PUMAs (disgruntled Hillary Democrats). From the primaries of '08 we may say there are 5 PUMA voters. If 2 of those five are so pissed off at Obama's treatment of Hilalry that they will vote for McCain/Palin, that would be a conservative count. Let's see what that does to the election we're int he middle of.

The 9 "R" voters might filter down to 8 "R" votes, just for comparisons ... we can't factor the broken glass Republicans who will vote this time but didn't bother in '06 because they were mad at the "R" for out of control spending, so the "R" might actually be 10 starting this calculation, but we'll stay with the 8 just to see what happens.

The original 10 "D" have been cut to 8 due to the disgruntled and determined PUMAs, so the "D" votes are now 8. BUT, the "R" 8 now get 2 PUMA votes, so they move to 10! Obama loses the election but the loss cannot be predicted mathematically by polling because of the assumed "D" base of votes the pollsters use to start their calculations!

For discussion, assume that the ACORN fraud votes will cancel the broken glass voters showing up this time that didn't bother to vote in '06.

Smile, the Marxist isn't going to win this election, even with his army of cheating ACORNS.